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W7EES > SWPC 30.11.18 00:01l 46 Lines 1524 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 6164_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA<N3HYM<KF5JRV<W9JUN<W7EES
Sent: 181129/2235Z 6164@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.17
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 333 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Nov 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28/2100Z to
29/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (30 Nov, 01 Dec, 02 Dec).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 405 km/s at 29/1633Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (30 Nov), quiet to minor storm levels
on day two (01 Dec) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (02
Dec).
III. Event probabilities 30 Nov-02 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Nov 068
Predicted 30 Nov-02 Dec 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 29 Nov 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Nov 002/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Nov 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Nov-02 Dec 005/005-019/024-021/028
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Nov-02 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/45/45
Minor Storm 01/25/25
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/05/05
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/70/70
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