| |
W7EES > SWPC 23.12.18 21:45l 48 Lines 1575 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 6373_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IK6ZDE<VE2PKT<N3HYM<LU4ECL<LU9DCE<N9LYA<W7EES
Sent: 181215/2234Z 6373@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.17
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 349 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Dec 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to
15/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (16 Dec, 17 Dec, 18 Dec).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 382 km/s at 15/1403Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1880 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (16 Dec, 17 Dec)
and quiet levels on day three (18 Dec).
III. Event probabilities 16 Dec-18 Dec
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Dec 071
Predicted 16 Dec-18 Dec 071/071/071
90 Day Mean 15 Dec 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Dec 003/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Dec 002/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Dec-18 Dec 008/008-008/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Dec-18 Dec
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/20/10
Minor Storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/15
Minor Storm 30/30/15
Major-severe storm 25/25/15
Read previous mail | Read next mail
| |
