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W7EES > SWPC 06.03.20 01:45l 49 Lines 1980 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 15177_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IU4DTL<HB9CSR<IK6IHL<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<IQ5KG<IK1NHL<CX2SA<N3HYM<
W7EES
Sent: 200306/0025Z 15177@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.19
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 65 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Mar 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to
05/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (06 Mar, 07 Mar, 08 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 384 km/s at 04/2142Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
05/1138Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
05/0909Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 264 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (06 Mar,
07 Mar, 08 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 06 Mar-08 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Mar 070
Predicted 06 Mar-08 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 05 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Mar 004/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Mar 005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Mar-08 Mar 006/005-008/008-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Mar-08 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/20/20
Minor Storm 01/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/20
Minor Storm 25/30/30
Major-severe storm 20/25/25
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