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LW3DBH > SOLAR 23.03.20 02:17l 71 Lines 2540 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
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Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 22 03
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DB0RES<ON0AR<VK6HGR<OK2PEN<N3HYM<N7HPX<LU9DCE<
LW3DBH
Sent: 200323/0108Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:59024 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:59024_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Mar 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 82 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Mar 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z to
22/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (23 Mar, 24 Mar, 25 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 493 km/s at 22/0931Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 22/0012Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
22/0127Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 547 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (23 Mar) and quiet levels
on days two and three (24 Mar, 25 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 23 Mar-25 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 22 Mar 070
Predicted 23 Mar-25 Mar 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 22 Mar 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Mar 005/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Mar 006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Mar-25 Mar 008/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Mar-25 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor Storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 25/15/15
Major-severe storm 20/10/10
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Steal my cash, car and TV - but leave the computer!
-- Soenke Lange <soenke@escher.north.de>
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