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LW3DBH > SOLAR 01.05.20 15:17l 70 Lines 2583 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 61746_LW3DBH
Read: GUEST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 15 04
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<LW3DBH
Sent: 200416/0108Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:61746 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:61746_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
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:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Apr 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 106 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Apr 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to
15/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (16 Apr, 17 Apr, 18 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 453 km/s at 15/0303Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 14/2200Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
14/2109Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 208 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (16 Apr,
17 Apr, 18 Apr).
III. Event probabilities 16 Apr-18 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Apr 068
Predicted 16 Apr-18 Apr 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 15 Apr 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Apr 007/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Apr 007/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Apr-18 Apr 007/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Apr-18 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 25/25/25
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
If you are looking for a kindly, well-to-do older gentleman who is no longer
interested in sex, take out an ad in The Wall Street Journal.
-- Abigail Van Buren
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