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LW3DBH > SOLAR 01.05.20 15:17l 70 Lines 2591 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 62829_LW3DBH
Read: GUEST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 24 04
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IQ2LB<IQ5KG<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<LW3DBH
Sent: 200425/0109Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:62829 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:62829_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
======================================================================
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Apr 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 115 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Apr 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to
24/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (25 Apr, 26 Apr, 27 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 405 km/s at 24/0238Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 24/1618Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
24/1644Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 422 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (25 Apr, 26 Apr, 27
Apr).
III. Event probabilities 25 Apr-27 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 Apr 071
Predicted 25 Apr-27 Apr 071/071/071
90 Day Mean 24 Apr 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Apr 004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Apr 006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Apr-27 Apr 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Apr-27 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
When all else fails, pour a pint of Guinness in the gas tank, advance the
spark 20 degrees, cry "God Save the Queen!", and pull the starter knob.
-- MG "Series MGA" Workshop Manual
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