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LW3DBH > SOLAR 01.05.20 15:17l 120 Lines 4654 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 61989_LW3DBH
Read: GUEST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 17 04
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<F3KT<CX2SA<DB0ZAV<LU4ECL<LW3DBH
Sent: 200418/0108Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:61989 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:61989_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
======================================================================
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Apr 17 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 108 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Apr 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z to
17/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (18 Apr, 19 Apr, 20 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 344 km/s at 17/1847Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
17/1248Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
17/0647Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 194 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (18 Apr, 19 Apr) and quiet to
active levels on day three (20 Apr).
III. Event probabilities 18 Apr-20 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 17 Apr 068
Predicted 18 Apr-20 Apr 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 17 Apr 071
V. GeomaR:200418/0114Z @:LU4ECL.LP.BA.ARG.SOAM #:29968 [La Plata] FBB7.0.8-beta2
R:200418/0108Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:61989 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:61989_LW3DBH
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
======================================================================
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 Apr 17 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 108 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Apr 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16/2100Z to
17/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (18 Apr, 19 Apr, 20 Apr).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 344 km/s at 17/1847Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
17/1248Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
17/0647Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 194 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (18 Apr, 19 Apr) and quiet to
active levels on day three (20 Apr).
III. Event probabilities 18 Apr-20 Apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 17 Apr 068
Predicted 18 Apr-20 Apr 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 17 Apr 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 Apr 005/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Apr 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Apr-20 Apr 006/005-006/005-009/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Apr-20 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/30
Minor Storm 01/01/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/30
Major-severe storm 10/10/40
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
"I think that most debian developers are rather "strong willed" people with
a great degree of understanding and a high level of passion for what they
perceive as important in development of the debian system."
-- Bill Leach
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