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LW3DBH > SOLAR 03.05.20 02:56l 69 Lines 2473 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 63927_LW3DBH
Read: GUEST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 02 05
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IR2UBX<IW2OHX<IR1UAW<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<LW3DBH
Sent: 200503/0110Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:63927 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:63927_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
======================================================================
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 May 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 123 Issued at 2200Z on 02 May 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to
02/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (03 May, 04 May, 05 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 346 km/s at 02/0509Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
02/1048Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
02/0359Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 178 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (03 May,
04 May, 05 May).
III. Event probabilities 03 May-05 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 May 069
Predicted 03 May-05 May 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 02 May 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 May 005/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 May 006/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 May-05 May 007/008-008/008-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 May-05 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor Storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/20
Minor Storm 25/25/25
Major-severe storm 25/25/25
+----------------------------------------------------------------------------+
Premature optimization is the root of all evil.
-- D. E. Knuth
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