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LW3DBH > SOLAR 05.05.20 02:20l 68 Lines 2431 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 64091_LW3DBH
Read: GUEST
Subj: SOLAR GEO ACTIVITY 04 05
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<LW3DBH
Sent: 200505/0110Z @:LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA #:64091 [MORENO] FBB7.00i $:64091_LW
From: LW3DBH@LW3DBH.1744.BA.ARG.SA
To : SOLAR@WW
_ __ _______ ____ ____ _ _
| |\ \ / /___ /| _ \| __ )| | | | BBS
| | \ \ /\ / / |_ \| | | | _ \| |_| | MORENO
| |__\ V V / ___) | |_| | |_) | _ | ARGENTINA
|_____\_/\_/ |____/|____/|____/|_| |_|
======================================================================
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2020 May 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 125 Issued at 2200Z on 04 May 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to
04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (05 May, 06 May, 07 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 346 km/s at 04/1148Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 03/2111Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
03/2321Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 207 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (05 May, 06 May, 07
May).
III. Event probabilities 05 May-07 May
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 04 May 069
Predicted 05 May-07 May 070/070/070
90 Day Mean 04 May 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 May 005/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 May 008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 May-07 May 005/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 May-07 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
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For internal use only.
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