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W7EES > SWPC 12.06.20 00:30l 47 Lines 1867 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 18329_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<IR1UAW<IQ5KG<IK1NHL<CX2SA<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 200611/2313Z 18329@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.20
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 163 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jun 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z to
11/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (12 Jun, 13 Jun, 14 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 501 km/s at 10/2331Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 197 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (12 Jun, 13 Jun, 14
Jun).
III. Event probabilities 12 Jun-14 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 11 Jun 072
Predicted 12 Jun-14 Jun 072/072/072
90 Day Mean 11 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jun 011/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Jun 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Jun-14 Jun 005/005-006/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jun-14 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
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