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W7EES > SWPC 14.06.20 01:07l 47 Lines 1903 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 18404_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<OK0PBR<OK2PEN<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 200613/2357Z 18404@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.20
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 165 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jun 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to
13/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (14 Jun, 15 Jun, 16 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 341 km/s at 13/1217Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 150 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (14 Jun, 15 Jun) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (16 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 14 Jun-16 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 13 Jun 069
Predicted 14 Jun-16 Jun 069/069/068
90 Day Mean 13 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jun 006/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Jun 003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun 005/005-006/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jun-16 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/15
Minor Storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/25
Major-severe storm 10/10/25
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