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W7EES > SWPC 20.06.20 01:10l 49 Lines 1968 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 18592_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<F3KT<F4DUR<CX2SA<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 200619/2349Z 18592@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.20
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 171 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Jun 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 18/2100Z to
19/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (20 Jun, 21 Jun, 22 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 358 km/s at 19/1715Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
18/2323Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
19/1947Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 163 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (20 Jun, 21 Jun, 22
Jun).
III. Event probabilities 20 Jun-22 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 19 Jun 069
Predicted 20 Jun-22 Jun 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 19 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Jun 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Jun 006/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Jun-22 Jun 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Jun-22 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
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