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W7EES > SWPC 09.07.20 02:07l 48 Lines 1904 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 19322_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<OK0NAG<OK0PBR<OK2PEN<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 200709/0050Z 19322@W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM BPQ6.0.20
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Jul 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to
08/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (09 Jul, 10 Jul, 11 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 409 km/s at 07/2301Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 224 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (09 Jul) and quiet levels
on days two and three (10 Jul, 11 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Jul 067
Predicted 09 Jul-11 Jul 068/068/068
90 Day Mean 08 Jul 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Jul 005/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Jul 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Jul-11 Jul 008/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Jul-11 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/05/05
Minor Storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 25/15/15
Major-severe storm 25/10/10
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