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W7EES > SWPC 10.10.20 02:05l 52 Lines 1868 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 23817_W7EES
Read: GUEST
Subj: Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<HB9CSR<IK6IHL<IZ3LSV<IQ2LB<IW2OHX<UA6ADV<CX2SA<N3HYM<W7EES
Sent: 201010/0041Z @:W7EES.OR.USA.NOAM #:23817 BPQ6.0.20
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 283 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Oct 2020
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to
09/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (10 Oct, 11 Oct, 12 Oct).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 337 km/s at 09/0101Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 770 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (10 Oct, 11 Oct, 12
Oct).
III. Event probabilities 10 Oct-12 Oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 09 Oct 073
Predicted 10 Oct-12 Oct 073/073/073
90 Day Mean 09 Oct 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Oct 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Oct 002/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Oct-12 Oct 006/005-005/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Oct-12 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
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