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CX2SA > SWPC 03.06.15 23:22l 60 Lines 2110 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 21721_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 150603/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:21721 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:21721_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2015 Jun 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 154 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jun 2015
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to
03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (04 Jun,
05 Jun, 06 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, averaged near 320 km/s. Total IMF
averaged 6 nT. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
03/0829Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (04 Jun, 05 Jun) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (06 Jun).
III. Event probabilities 04 Jun-06 Jun
Class M 01/01/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Jun 109
Predicted 04 Jun-06 Jun 110/110/115
90 Day Mean 03 Jun 124
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jun 004/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jun 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jun-06 Jun 006/005-006/005-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jun-06 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/15
Minor Storm 01/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/15
Minor Storm 20/20/25
Major-severe storm 10/10/20
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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