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EI2GYB > ASTRO    23.06.23 19:52l 75 Lines 7899 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
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Subj: Signal Found from Supermassive Duo's Second Black Hole
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Signal Found from Supermassive Duo's Second Black Hole

By: Diana Hannikainen June 16, 2023


Astronomers have long suspected that a distant quasar harbors not one but two supermassive black holes. They've now detected OJ 287's second black hole.

Astronomers have long suspected that the distant galaxy OJ 287 harbors not one but two supermassive black holes in its core - one with the mass of a whopping 18 billion Suns, the other a relatively diminutive, 150-million-solar-mass companion. Researchers have been observing and closely monitoring the galaxy for decades in the hopes of securing firmer evidence for the presence of the secondary black hole.

And now they have. A large international team led by Mauri Valtonen (University of Turku, Finland) announced at the 242nd meeting of the American Astronomical Society the detection of the signature of the second black hole in this distant galaxy.
It's in the Light Curves

The light from OJ 287 travels some 4 billion light-years to Earth from the constellation Cancer, where the galaxy sits near the ecliptic just a few degrees from the Beehive Cluster (M44). This means that, serendipitously, OJ 287 appears in astronomical photographs from 1888 (as astronomers were searching for minor planets).

In the 1980s, Aimo Sillanpää (University of Turku Observatory, Finland) and colleagues dipped into the long archive of photographic plates to construct a light curve showing how OJ 287 varied in brightness over the past century. Analyzing the dataset, they noticed weeks-long outbursts approximately every 12 years, as well as another 55-year cycle in the galaxy's emission. They attributed the repeating patterns to a pair of black holes orbiting each other: The 12-year cycle arises from a secondary black hole orbiting the primary, while the 55-year cycle is due to the system's slowly changing orientation.

Further scrutiny of the light curves revealed that the 12-year cycle presented an additional feature: a double outburst. Sillanpää, Valtonen, and colleagues interpreted these flares as arising when the secondary black hole plunged through the primary black hole's accretion disk. Models of the double-black hole system provided estimates of their mass as well as their orbit, which had to be oblong to explain the observations. Those models also predicted when the next flares would occur - predictions that bore out time and again. 

But astronomers still craved firm evidence -  in spite of all these observations, they still didn't have a direct signal from the secondary black hole.

"The two black holes are so close to each other in the sky that one cannot see them separately; they merge into a single point in our telescopes," says Valtonen. "Only if we can see clearly separate signals from each black hole can we say that we have actually 'seen' them both."
Seeing Double

In 2021 and 2022, the team unleashed a large campaign to observe OJ 287 based on the secondary black hole's predicted plunge through the accretion disk. Astronomers around the world carried out observations at wavelengths ranging from visible light to ultraviolet to X-rays, as well as radio waves.

The astronomers saw the expected flare right after the secondary plunged through the accretion disk within days of the predicted time. But that wasn't all. The multiwavelength campaign also yielded two observational surprises.

The first surprise came from Staszek Zola (Jagiellonian University of Krakow, Poland), who recorded a flare at slightly redder wavelengths at the predicted time. But this one was huge, with an energy output 100 times that of an entire galaxy - and it only lasted one day!

Analysis of the data indicated that this short flare occurred shortly after the secondary black hole, during its plunge through the accretion disk, "swallowed" a massive dose of new gas, which resulted in the whole system suddenly brightening. "It is thought that this process has empowered the jet, which shoots out from the smaller black hole of OJ 287," explains Valtonen. "An event like this was predicted 10 years ago but has not been confirmed until now."

But why haven't astronomers seen this flare prior to this observation? It turns out it's simply rotten luck. With an event lasting only one day, it's easy to miss. Without tight monitoring such as that of Zola's, "we would have missed it this time as well," Valtonen states.

The second surprise came in the form of a spurt of gamma rays, which the Fermi satellite detected. When the smaller black hole crashed through the disk, its jet interacted with the gas in the disk to produce gamma rays. To confirm that this was indeed what they were seeing, the researchers trawled through archival gamma-ray data and found a similar gamma-ray flare from 2013 that coincided with the secondary plunging through the accretion disk.

Pulling all this together, Valtonen and his team determined that in these flares we're directly seeing three stages of the secondary black hole's interaction with the primary's accretion disk:

    The one-day flare signals the secondary black hole "swallowing" extra gas as it plunges at high velocity through the primary's accretion disk,
    The gamma-ray flare is coincident with the secondary's jet interacting with the disk,
    The weeks-long flare reveals the exit of the secondary from the accretion disk of the primary.

And so, they conclude, with this trio of flares, we've seen evidence that a secondary black hole orbits the primary.

A tantalizing RadioAstron observation from 2014 shows something interesting: In the image below, the expected jet from the primary extends through blobs C1a, C2, and J6. The blob labeled C1b shouldn't be there. However, according to Dey, Valtonen, and their colleagues, that's the calculated position of the secondary jet. So might we be seeing a direct image of the jet of the secondary black hole in OJ 287? That remains to be seen. RadioAstron is no longer, and next-generation space radio interferometry is far in the future.

All of this makes OJ 287 a prime candidate for detecting gravitational waves at nano-hertz frequencies, putting it within range of pulsar timing arrays. And as the system emits gravitational waves (even if we can't yet see them), the orbital period shrinks, until eventually the pair will spiral together. "Thus," Valtonen explains, "the merger is due after about 1,000 periods, or 10,000 years."

Some far-future gravitational wave detector will no doubt capture this signal.




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