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HP2DFA > STORM 06.09.90 09:37l 20 Lines 1724 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 1595_HP2DFA
Subj: 7 DAY PACIFIC OUTLOOK C. AMERICA SEP05
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<ED1ZAC<LU4ECL<VK2RZ<LU9DCE<VE3CGR<VA2RIZ<HP2DFA
Sent: 260906/0146Z 1595@HP2DFA.#COL.PAN.CEAM BPQ6.0.24
## 🏖️ Eastern Pacific Basin (Vertiente del Pacífico)
The Pacific side is experiencing a massive burst of tropical activity with multiple active systems: [5, 6]
*
* Active Systems: The NHC is monitoring Hurricane Marie in the Eastern Pacific, alongside Hurricane Lowell and Tropical Storm Karina, which have moved further west into the Central Pacific basin. All systems are moving over open water well away from the mainland. [2, 4, 6]
* Offshore Outlook: An area of low pressure is forecast to form well offshore of southwestern Mexico early next week. It has a medium (40chance of tropical cyclone formation over the next 7 days. It is projected to pull away west-northwestward over open water. [2]
* Indirect Impact on Central America: Because these massive low-pressure engines are spinning offshore, they act as a vacuum that pulls the Monsoon Trough (Vaguada Monzónica) closer to the Pacific coastlines. This continuous conveyor belt of deep Pacific moisture will trigger heavy, localized afternoon thunderstorms and flash flooding risks across El Salvador, Costa Rica, and Western Panama over the week.
*
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## 🗺️ Summary Table: 7-Day Cyclone Formation Probability
| Basin Region | Active Cyclones | 7-Day New Formation Potential | Direct Threat to Central America? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caribbean / Atlantic | None | 0aLow) | No (Only typical seasonal rain waves) |
| Eastern Pacific | Marie, Lowell, Karina | 40aMedium Offshore Mexico) | No Landfalls (Indirect moisture pull) |
Sistema de Monitoreo de Alertas Meteorologicas de Panama PCARA - Grupo Digital C4FM Panama www.pcara.net - www.c4fmpanama.org HP2DFA@HP2DFA.COL.PA.CEAM
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