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KF5JRV > WX       07.08.16 17:34l 58 Lines 2234 Bytes #999 (0) @ USA
BID : 7274_KF5JRV
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Subj: NWS USA Forecst 8/7
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA<N6RME<N0KFQ<KF5JRV
Sent: 160807/1402Z 7274@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQ1.4.65


Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
343 AM EDT Sun Aug 07 2016

Valid 12Z Sun Aug 07 2016 - 12Z Tue Aug 09 2016

...There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms for portions of
Montana today...

...Heavy rain possible from the eastern Gulf Coast to to the
Mid-Atlantic...

...Heavy rain possible for parts of the Central Plains and
Midwest...

A cold front pushed off the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic coast last
night and will continue tracking over the Atlantic. The
mid-section of the front will be very slow-moving across the
Carolinas and westward through the Lower Mississippi valley and
southern Plains. Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms
will initiate along the boundary. Very moist air over the region
combined with slow storm motion will increase the risk for heavy
rainfall and flash flooding - especially for the central Plains
and the eastern Gulf Coast, the Southeast and Southern
Appalachian/Mid-Atlantic region. A cooler and drier airmass will
overspread much of New England to the Mid-Atlantic and will
continue over the Midwest into the northern Plains as surface high
pressure builds in behind the front. Another cold front will move
south and east through southern Canada bringing additional showers
and thunderstorms to portions of New England.

Out west, a series of weak upper level disturbances interacting
with monsoonal moisture will to generate widespread showers and
thunderstorms across the Four-Corners region in the southern
Rockies. As the disturbances move off to the northeast into the
central Plains so will the focus for convection. Furthermore,
upper-level energy over the Northern Rockies/Northern
Intermountain Region will produce showers and thunderstorms over
the area today. Some of the storms may become severe - the Storm
Prediction Center has a slight risk area identified for
north-central Montana. By Monday the showers and thunderstorms
will move into parts of the Northern High Plains.  Onshore flow
will aid in producing light rain over parts of the Pacific
Northwest on Sunday into Monday. 


Campbell


Graphics available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_wbg.php



73, Scott kf5jrv
KF5JRV @ KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA



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