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KF5JRV > WX 10.08.16 16:27l 52 Lines 2301 Bytes #999 (0) @ USA
BID : 7421_KF5JRV
Read: GUEST
Subj: NWS USA WX Forecast 8/10
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA<N9PMO<N0KFQ<KF5JRV
Sent: 160810/1108Z 7421@KF5JRV.#NWAR.AR.USA.NA BPQ1.4.65
Short Range Forecast Discussion...Correction
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
656 AM EDT Wed Aug 10 2016
Valid 12Z Wed Aug 10 2016 - 12Z Fri Aug 12 2016
...Heavy rainfall and severe thunderstorms possible from the
northern Plains to the Upper Midwest...
...Showers and thunderstorms with heavy rainfall to continue
across the central Gulf Coast states...
...Heavy to excessive rainfall possible across portions of Arizona
and New Mexico...
A frontal boundary sprawling across the northern states will
become a focus for widespread showers and thunderstorms across the
northern Plains, upper Midwest and Great lakes region. Conditions
will be favorable for strong to severe thunderstorms to
materialize across the Dakota and Minnesota today -- the Storm
Prediction Center has highlighted a slight risk over northern High
Plains. Additionally, bursts of heavy rainfall will be possible
with any of these storms and will increase the risk for flash
flooding across the northern Plains. WPC has a slight risk for
excessive rainfall/flash flooding from the northern Plains to the
upper Great Lakes through Thursday, with a moderate risk possible
on Wednesday across central Minnesota as moisture pooling around a
surface low interacts with a warm front lifting northward through
the state.
A lingering surface low over the coastal plains will continue to
pump tropical moisture into the South and Southeast. Numerous
showers and thunderstorms will initiate and track across the Gulf
states, yielding high rainfall amounts, especially along the Gulf
Coast. Disturbances in the mid- and upper-level flow will keep
shower and thunderstorm activity going across Tennessee and Ohio
valleys, as well as the Appalachians and the Mid-Atlantic region.
Monsoonal moisture and daytime heating will generate showers and
thunderstorms over parts of the Southwest/eastern Great Basin into
parts of the Central/Southern Rockies and High Plains through
Thursday. An additional flux of moisture from former tropical
cyclone Javier will enter the flow streaming northward. Localized
heavy rain and flash flooding is expected as it reaches the Desert
Southwest. Most of Arizona and New Mexico have Flood Watches in
effect.
Campbell
Graphics available at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_wbg.php
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