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LU9DCE > ALERT    10.11.23 10:06l 71 Lines 2441 Bytes #182 (0) @ WW
BID : 1864_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 10-NOV23
Path: IW8PGT<I3XTY<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<GB7CIP<KA1VSC<VE3CGR<KE6CHO<LU9DCE
Sent: 231110/0800Z 1864@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24

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                PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
                       PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF FRI NOV 10 02:51:01 UTC 2023

NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF FRI NOV 10 02:51:01 UTC 2023.

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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI NOV 10 02:51:01 UTC 2023

NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI NOV 10 02:51:01 UTC 2023.

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SPC NOV 10, 2023 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
      
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0639 PM CST THU NOV 09 2023

VALID 100100Z - 101200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS, AND
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

...01Z UPDATE...

SURFACE FRONT IS FORECAST TO ADVANCE INTO DEEP SOUTH TX BY 06Z, THEN
INTO THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. BROAD
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ATOP THIS FRONTAL SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO
ENCOURAGE WEAK ELEVATED CONVECTION ALONG THE COOL SIDE OF THE
BOUNDARY, BUT LIGHTNING SHOULD BE FAIRLY SPARSE. HOWEVER, GREATER
BUOYANCY CURRENTLY EXISTS ACROSS THE TX COASTAL PLAIN, ESPECIALLY
SOUTHERN AREAS. 00Z SOUNDING FROM CRP EXHIBITS MODEST BUOYANCY, BUT
WEAK LAPSE RATES DUE TO A MOIST PROFILE (PW AROUND 2 INCHES). LATEST
LIGHTNING DATA SUGGESTS ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE CONCENTRATED IN
THIS HIGHER-INSTABILITY AIR MASS, JUST SOUTHWEST OF CRP. CURRENT
THINKING IS MOST LIGHTNING FLASHES WILL BE NOTED ACROSS DEEP SOUTH
TX THE REST OF THE PERIOD.

FARTHER WEST, ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE WEAKENED OVER SOUTHWEST NM
INTO NORTHERN MEXICO. EVEN SO, A FEW FLASHES OF LIGHTNING CAN NOT BE
RULED OUT ACROSS THIS REGION TONIGHT WITH WEAK CONVECTION THAT
EVOLVES AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.

..DARROW.. 11/10/2023

READ MORE

      

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