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LU9DCE > ALERT 11.11.23 10:06l 71 Lines 2473 Bytes #183 (0) @ WW
BID : 1921_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 11-NOV23
Path: IW8PGT<I3XTY<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<GB7CIP<VE3KPG<VE3CGR<GB7YEW<LU9DCE
Sent: 231111/0801Z 1921@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2023 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SAT NOV 11 02:52:01 UTC 2023
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF SAT NOV 11 02:52:01 UTC 2023.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SAT NOV 11 02:52:01 UTC 2023
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF SAT NOV 11 02:52:01 UTC 2023.
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SPC NOV 11, 2023 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0635 PM CST FRI NOV 10 2023
VALID 110100Z - 111200Z
...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED LIGHTNING FLASHES REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG PARTS OF THE GULF
COAST, AND THE OLYMPIC PENINSULA OF WASHINGTON.
...01Z UPDATE...
NEUTRAL/WEAK HEIGHT RISES WILL BE NOTED ALONG THE GULF COAST TONIGHT
WITHIN A BROADER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW REGIME. THE ONLY SHORT-WAVE
TROUGH OF SIGNIFICANCE IS CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS, AND THIS FEATURE WILL DAMPEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT SHIFTS
DOWNSTREAM. AS A RESULT, THERE WILL BE LITTLE INFLUENCE ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE GULF COAST. OFFSHORE FLOW SHOULD PERSIST ACROSS THE
WESTERN/CENTRAL GULF COAST, BUT WEAK WARM ADVECTION MAY BE ADEQUATE
FOR A FEW DEEPER ELEVATED UPDRAFTS FROM SOUTHEAST LA INTO SOUTHERN
AL. WHILE BUOYANCY IS QUITE WEAK, MOIST PROFILES MAY BE ADEQUATE FOR
A FLASH OR TWO OF LIGHTNING WITH THE MOST ROBUST UPDRAFTS.
00Z SOUNDING FROM UIL IS SATURATED THROUGH ABOUT 6KM WITH ONLY
MODEST LAPSE RATES. STRONG MIDLEVEL SPEED MAX WILL APPROACH THE WA
COAST BY DAYBREAK AS THERMAL PROFILES COOL/STEEPEN IN ASSOCIATION
WITH AN INLAND-MOVING COLD FRONT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST WEAK
BUOYANCY WILL DEVELOP LATE ACROSS THIS REGION, SUPPORTING POTENTIAL
FOR A FEW FLASHES OF LIGHTNING WITH NEAR-FRONTAL CONVECTION.
..DARROW.. 11/11/2023
READ MORE
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