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LU9DCE > ALERT 25.12.23 10:11l 73 Lines 2604 Bytes #228 (0) @ WW
BID : 4262_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 25-DEC23
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<DB0ERF<DK0WUE<GB7CIP<KA1VSC<K7EK<W0ARP<LU9DCE
Sent: 231225/0800Z 4262@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24
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PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
COPYRIGHT 2023 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF MON DEC 25 03:03:01 UTC 2023
NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF MON DEC 25 03:03:01 UTC 2023.
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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF MON DEC 25 03:03:01 UTC 2023
NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF MON DEC 25 03:03:01 UTC 2023.
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SPC DEC 25, 2023 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0653 PM CST SUN DEC 24 2023
VALID 250100Z - 251200Z
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST...
...SUMMARY...
A LOCALIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK IS POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST LATER THIS EVENING INTO THE EARLY MORNING.
...SYNOPSIS...
EARLY EVENING WATER-VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
PIVOTING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS AND NORTHWEST
GULF COAST. AN EXTENSIVE RAIN SHIELD IS LOCATED IMMEDIATELY AHEAD
OF THE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST/LOWER MS VALLEY. ALTHOUGH
THE PRIMARY SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP FROM NORTHEAST OK
INTO THE LOWER MO VALLEY TONIGHT, A SECONDARY AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP FROM SOUTHEAST LA INTO MS/AL DURING THE
OVERNIGHT ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MORE APPRECIABLY
MODIFIED-GULF AIRMASS. IT REMAINS POSSIBLE STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL
OCCUR THIS EVENING OVER SOUTHEAST LA AND MOVE DOWNSTREAM INTO PARTS
OF SOUTHERN MS/AL. ALTHOUGH THE INCIPIENT SEVERE RISK IS
CONDITIONAL UPON ROBUST STORM DEVELOPMENT (SUBSTANTIAL AIRMASS
MODIFICATION WILL NEED TO OCCUR BASED ON THE 00Z SLIDELL, LA 00Z
RAOB; 0 J/KG MUCAPE), WILL CONTINUE WITH THE LOW PROBABILITY
HIGHLIGHT FOR A BRIEF TORNADO/LOCALIZED SEVERE GUST LATE THIS
EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT.
ELSEWHERE, QUIESCENT CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE EAST AND
AREAS FROM THE HIGH PLAINS WESTWARD TO THE WEST COAST.
..SMITH.. 12/25/2023
READ MORE
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