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LU9DCE > ALERT    09.02.24 10:07l 70 Lines 2403 Bytes #273 (0) @ WW
BID : 6517_LU9DCE
Read: GUEST
Subj: STORM PREDICTION CENTER 09-FEB24
Path: IW8PGT<I3XTY<I0OJJ<LU4ECL<LU9DCE
Sent: 240209/0801Z 6517@LU9DCE.TOR.BA.ARG.SOAM LinBPQ6.0.24

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           / (_/\) \/ (\__  )) D (( (__  ) _)    ) _ ( ) _ (\___ \
           \____/\____/(___/(____/ \___)(____)  (____/(____/(____/

                PACKET RADIO STATION - BUENOS AIRES (GF05OM)
                       PHP SCHEDULED NEWSLETTERS (PSN)
                     COPYRIGHT 2023 - EDUARDO A. CASTILLO
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SPC - NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF FRI FEB  9 02:44:02 UTC 2024

NO WATCHES ARE VALID AS OF FRI FEB  9 02:44:02 UTC 2024.

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SPC - NO MDS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI FEB  9 02:44:02 UTC 2024

NO MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS ARE IN EFFECT AS OF FRI FEB  9 02:44:02 UTC 2024.

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SPC FEB 9, 2024 0100 UTC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

SPC 0100Z DAY 1 OUTLOOK
      
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0652 PM CST THU FEB 08 2024

VALID 090100Z - 091200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF THE MIDWEST...

...SUMMARY...
A FEW STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS EVENING
ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN, NORTHERN ILLINOIS, AND THE
SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN VICINITY.

...01Z UPDATE...

STRONG 500MB SPEED MAX IS TRANSLATING NORTHEAST ACROSS IL TOWARD
NORTHERN IN IN ASSOCIATION WITH A MIDLEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH THAT IS
CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER THE UPPER MS VALLEY. THIS FEATURE APPEARS TO
BE INFLUENCING STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN WI/NORTHERN IL. VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES
ARE NOTED NORTH OF THE JET, DUE IN LARGE PART TO VERY COLD 500MB
TEMPERATURES, AND SOME BOUNDARY-LAYER HEATING. WHILE SURFACE DEW
POINTS HAVE HELD IN THE MID-UPPER 40S, SURFACE-BASED PARCELS HAVE
PROVEN BUOYANT, AND SEVERAL SUPERCELLS EVOLVED WITHIN THE
AFOREMENTIONED CORRIDOR OF STRONG CONVECTION. LATEST RADAR DATA
SUGGESTS THE STRONGEST CONVECTION WILL SOON SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHERN
LAKE MI WHERE BUOYANCY IS WEAKER. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO WEAKER
UPDRAFTS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND THE PROSPECT FOR SEVERE SHOULD
WANE WITH EASTWARD PROGRESSION THIS EVENING.

..DARROW.. 02/09/2024

READ MORE

      

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