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CX2SA > SWPC 27.11.15 00:22l 61 Lines 2229 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 34399_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 151126/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:34399 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:34399_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2015 Nov 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 330 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Nov 2015
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to
26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (27 Nov,
28 Nov, 29 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 291 km/s at
26/0736Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 26/1921Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -6 nT at 26/1755Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV
at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 418 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (27 Nov, 28 Nov)
and quiet levels on day three (29 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 27 Nov-29 Nov
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Nov 104
Predicted 27 Nov-29 Nov 105/105/110
90 Day Mean 26 Nov 105
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Nov 001/000
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Nov 006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Nov-29 Nov 007/008-007/008-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Nov-29 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor Storm 25/15/15
Major-severe storm 10/15/10
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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