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CX2SA > SWPC 28.11.15 01:00l 61 Lines 2214 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 34437_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 151127/2249Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:34437 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:34437_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2015 Nov 27 2240 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 330 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Nov 2015
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z to
27/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three
(28 Nov, 29 Nov, 30 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field reached unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 342 km/s at
27/1759Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 27/1846Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -9 nT at 27/0127Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV
at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 621 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (28 Nov,
29 Nov, 30 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 28 Nov-30 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 27 Nov 099
Predicted 28 Nov-30 Nov 099/099/099
90 Day Mean 27 Nov 105
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Nov 002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Nov 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Nov-30 Nov 007/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Nov-30 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/20
Minor Storm 25/25/25
Major-severe storm 15/15/15
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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