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CX2SA > SWPC 27.06.16 01:00l 61 Lines 2171 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 46915-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 160626/2249Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:46915 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:46915-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2016 Jun 26 2245 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 178 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Jun 2016
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to
26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (27
Jun, 28 Jun, 29 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 540 km/s at 26/1531Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 26/1642Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
26/1442Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 3009 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (27 Jun, 28 Jun, 29
Jun).
III. Event probabilities 27 Jun-29 Jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Jun 077
Predicted 27 Jun-29 Jun 077/080/080
90 Day Mean 26 Jun 090
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Jun 007/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Jun 007/009
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Jun-29 Jun 007/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Jun-29 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor Storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 10/10/15
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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