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CX2SA > SWPC 06.07.16 00:24l 58 Lines 2080 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 47929-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 160705/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:47929 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:47929-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2016 Jul 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 187 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jul 2016
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to
05/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (06 Jul, 07 Jul, 08 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 438 km/s at 04/2205Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 169 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (06 Jul), quiet to minor storm levels
on day two (07 Jul) and quiet to active levels on day three (08 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 06 Jul-08 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Jul 072
Predicted 06 Jul-08 Jul 073/074/075
90 Day Mean 05 Jul 089
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jul 009/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Jul 005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Jul-08 Jul 006/005-012/015-011/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jul-08 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/40/25
Minor Storm 01/20/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/10/15
Minor Storm 15/30/30
Major-severe storm 05/50/35
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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