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CX2SA > SWPC 09.02.17 00:28l 60 Lines 2117 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 65155-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 170208/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:65155 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:65155-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Feb 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 39 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Feb 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 07/2100Z to
08/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (09 Feb, 10 Feb, 11 Feb).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 537 km/s at 07/2145Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
08/2035Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
08/1228Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 18550 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (09 Feb, 10 Feb, 11
Feb).
III. Event probabilities 09 Feb-11 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 08 Feb 073
Predicted 09 Feb-11 Feb 073/072/073
90 Day Mean 08 Feb 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Feb 005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Feb 006/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Feb-11 Feb 007/007-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Feb-11 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/05/05
Minor Storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/15
Major-severe storm 15/05/05
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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