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CX2SA > SWPC 27.03.17 00:25l 60 Lines 2150 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 3456-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 170326/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:3456 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:3456-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Mar 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 85 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Mar 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to
26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (27
Mar, 28 Mar, 29 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 462 km/s at 25/2103Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 8330 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (27 Mar), active to
major storm levels on day two (28 Mar) and unsettled to major storm
levels on day three (29 Mar).
III. Event probabilities 27 Mar-29 Mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Mar 077
Predicted 27 Mar-29 Mar 078/078/078
90 Day Mean 26 Mar 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Mar 003/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Mar 006/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Mar-29 Mar 016/025-028/040-024/035
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Mar-29 Mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 40/30/30
Minor Storm 25/30/30
Major-severe storm 10/15/15
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/35/15
Minor Storm 20/15/20
Major-severe storm 30/10/25
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
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