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CX2SA > SWPC 27.07.17 04:42l 61 Lines 2259 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 15039-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 170726/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:15039 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:15039-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Jul 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 207 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Jul 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to
26/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (27 Jul, 28 Jul, 29 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 664 km/s at 26/0129Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 26/0735Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
26/0826Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 2 pfu at 25/2225Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 13961 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (27 Jul, 28 Jul)
and quiet levels on day three (29 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 27 Jul-29 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 26 Jul 069
Predicted 27 Jul-29 Jul 069/070/072
90 Day Mean 26 Jul 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Jul 009/ NA
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Jul 010/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Jul-29 Jul 007/008-007/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Jul-29 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/10
Minor Storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 25/15/10
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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