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CX2SA > SWPC 28.07.17 00:23l 60 Lines 2154 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 15137-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 170727/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:15137 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:15137-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Jul 27 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 208 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Jul 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 26/2100Z to
27/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (28 Jul, 29 Jul, 30 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 555 km/s at 26/2314Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
26/2127Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
27/2059Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 16547 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (28 Jul) and quiet levels
on days two and three (29 Jul, 30 Jul).
III. Event probabilities 28 Jul-30 Jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 27 Jul 068
Predicted 28 Jul-30 Jul 068/068/072
90 Day Mean 27 Jul 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Jul 015/011
Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Jul 005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Jul-30 Jul 007/007-005/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Jul-30 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor Storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/20
Major-severe storm 20/10/10
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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