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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.08.17 13:28l 117 Lines 3978 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Thu, 17 Aug 2017 12:27:35 GMT
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2017 Aug 17 1230 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU229
UGEOA 30512 70817 1230/ 9930/
11172 22172 30172
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 Aug 2017 until 19 Aug
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Aug 2017 10CM FLUX: 077 / AP: 032
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Aug 2017 10CM FLUX: 080 / AP: 021
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Aug 2017 10CM FLUX: 082 / AP: 007
COMMENT: NOAA AR 2671 continued to grow and has evolved into a beta-gamma-
delta magnetic field configuration. Nevertheless, it has not produced any
flare above the B-class level in past 24 h. The situation can change as
this region will likely generate C-class flares, and has potential for
M-
(and even X-) class flares. It produced a CME directed to the west first
seen at 14:00 UT (LASCO-C2) on August 16, that will most likely miss the
Earth.
No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected. Solar
protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.
Geomagnetic conditions have been disturbed due to the expected arrival
of a
high speed stream from a coronal hole (Kp reached 5 at 06:00 UT and the
local K went up to 4 at 09:00 UT). Solar wind speed is increasing and
currently around 550 km/s with interplanetary magnetic field intensity
of
11 nT, with periods of negative Bz since early today. More disturbed
conditions are expected in the next 48 h with K up to 6.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 040, BASED ON 19 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 70817 1230/ 16///
1//// 20770 3008/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 70817 1230/ ///// /////
99999
USSPS 21305 15183 02332 65027 16509 34513
USSPS 81202 16008 02132 59023 16310 34511
UMAGF 30503 70817 1004/ 16069 1/014 21121 32332
UMAGF 31523 70817 0000/ 16005 1/008 22212 32233
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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