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OK0NAG > SOLAR    30.08.17 13:35l 122 Lines 4241 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Wed, 30 Aug 2017 12:33:58 GMT
To: solar@eu

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From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2017 Aug 30 1236 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

GEOALERT BRU242
UGEOA 30512 70830 1236/ 9930/ 
11302 22302 3/302 
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 30 Aug 2017 until 01 Sep 
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Aug 2017  10CM FLUX: 084 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 31 Aug 2017  10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 040
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Sep 2017  10CM FLUX: 083 / AP: 012
COMMENT: Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. There are

currently tree active regions on the visible discs, but only Catania group

47 (NOAA region 2674) produced small C-class flare. We expect the activity

to remain low with a probability of few sporadic C-class flare.

No other Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected 
in
the available coronagraph imagery and the solar protons remains at
background level.

A minor geomagnetic storm was observed on August, 29 with a peaking around

21:00 UT. This may be due to an Interplanetary CME that provoked a shock

onto the Solar Wind on August, 29 around 16:00 UT.  Currently, the
geomagnetic conditions are returning to quiet with Kp (NOAA) and local 
K
(Dourbes) indexes ranging between 1-2. A minor to moderated storm (K
between 5 and 6) is expected on August, 31 when the fast solar wind coming

from the large coronal hole crossing the central meridian on August 29 
will
reach Earth.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 048, BASED ON 19 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 70830 1236/ 29/// 
10051 20840 3010/ 4//// 80304 90130 
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES 

NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 70830 1236/ 30/07 30103 
10043 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60004 45108 01000 
10046 2//// 3//// 472// 50040 60001 25907 01000 
10047 2//// 3//// 4542/ 50240 60014 17613 16000 
99999
USSPS 31405 30076 04942 43004 45108 21304 46004 25907 2/901 47024 17613 
44514
USSPS 32404 28068 02132 65014 42308 21511
USSPS 21305 28164 02632 66002 43108 34505 68003 28707 3/801
USSPS 81202 29008 02222 60007 43806 2/801 62012 27808 1/801
UMAGF 30503 70830 1004/ 29066 1/019 21113 34322
UMAGF 31523 70830 0000/ 29007 1/010 21112 32343

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