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OK0NAG > SOLAR    17.09.17 13:35l 130 Lines 4495 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Sun, 17 Sep 2017 12:34:14 GMT
Reply-to: no-reply-sidc@oma.be
Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
To: solar@eu
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:Issued: 2017 Sep 17 1234 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

GEOALERT BRU260
UGEOA 30512 70917 1234/ 9930/ 
10172 20172 30172 
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 Sep 2017 until 19 Sep 
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Sep 2017  10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Sep 2017  10CM FLUX: 069 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Sep 2017  10CM FLUX: 068 / AP: 007
COMMENT: The only sunspot group presently observed on the solar disk,
Catania number 55 (NOAA AR 2680), is unlikely to produce flaring activity

above the B-class level. No flares were reported in the past 24 hours.

Newly arrived coronagraph observations show two very faint and slow partial

halo CMEs (with angular width of about 180 degrees), first time observed 
in
the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 19:48 UT on September 15 and at 12:24 
on
September 16. The source region of both CMEs was the Catania sunspot group

46 (NOAA AR 2673) which is at the back side of the Sun as seen from the

Earth. Therefore these two CMEs will not arrive to the Earth. The solar

protons remained at background level in the past 24 hours.

The Earth remains to be inside the fast solar wind stream associated with 
a
low-latitude extension of the northern polar coronal hole which reached

central meridian on September 09. The solar wind speed is slowly decreasing

and it presently amounts about 670 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field

magnitude is 6 nT. Due to the influence of the fast flow active geomagnetic

conditions were reported in the last 24 hours (both NOAA and local station

at Dourbes reported interval of Kp=4 and K=4, respectively). Presently

geomagnetic conditions are quiet, however the solar wind speed is still

quite high and longer intervals of southward Bz might induce unsettled 
to
active conditions in the coming hours.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 015, BASED ON 21 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 70917 1234/ 16/// 
1//// 20720 3025/ 4//// 8//// 9//// 
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES 

NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 70917 1234/ 15/08 17101 
10055 2//// 3//// 472// 50100 60002 10909 00000 
99999
USSPS 32404 15063 01132 75010 11108 2/801
USSPS 81202 15011 01232 69008 11309 2/802
USSPS 21305 15154 01432 75002 10809 3/804
UMAGF 30503 70917 1004/ 16060 1/034 22344 34333
UMAGF 31523 70917 0000/ 16005 1/025 25433 34443

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