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OK0NAG > SOLAR 29.09.17 14:32l 126 Lines 4426 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Fri, 29 Sep 2017 12:30:16 GMT
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU272
UGEOA 30512 70929 1230/ 9930/
10292 21292 30292
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 29 Sep 2017 until 01 Oct
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Sep 2017 10CM FLUX: 093 / AP: 015
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Sep 2017 10CM FLUX: 093 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 092 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. No significant
flares have been recorded. Catania group 55 (NOAA AR region 2681) has been
most active, producing one B2.9 flare peaking at 14:34 UT yesterday
(29-Sep-2017). No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been
detected in coronograph observations. The greater than 10MeV proton flux
remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is
expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with some probability of
C-class flares.
The Earth is still inside the fast solar wind stream with the speed of
about 640 km/s. However the magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field
remained below 5 nT over the past 24 hours, while Bz component varied
between -4 and 4.4 nT. Geomagnetic conditions were active yesterday
afternoon (Kp = 4 at 12-21 UT; 28 Sep-2017). Later, after a single episode
of minor storm (Kp = 5 at 21-24 UT; 28-Sep-2017) geomagnetic conditions
became unsettled (29-Sep-2017) with Kp (NOAA) and local K (Dourbes) indexes
ranging between 1-3 and 2-3 respectively. The geomagnetic conditions are
expected to remain from unsettled to active (Kp = 4) at least until
01-Oct-2017.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 046, BASED ON 20 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 70929 1230/ 28///
10059 20910 3040/ 4//// 80104 90510
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 70929 1230/ 28/09 29104
10055 2//// 3//// 472// 50060 60001 32512 00000
10056 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50190 60013 22909 02000
10057 2//// 3//// 474// 50250 60002 14114 01000
10058 2//// 3//// 4201/ 50010 60003 22305 01000
99999
USSPS 31405 29076 05242 55006 33812 2/901 56021 21609 21318 57032 12914
4/803
USSPS 32404 27079 03622 77006 31214 21302 78014 24111 3/802 79024 15713
3/802
UMAGF 30503 70929 1004/ 28064 1/037 24334 34432
UMAGF 31523 70929 0000/ 28007 1/040 25554 34455
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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