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OK0NAG > SOLAR 01.10.17 14:50l 126 Lines 4452 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Sun, 1 Oct 2017 12:30:15 GMT
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
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:Issued: 2017 Oct 01 1230 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU274
UGEOA 30512 71001 1230/ 9930/
10012 21012 30012
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 01 Oct 2017 until 03 Oct
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 013
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 008
COMMENT: Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. No significant
flares have been recorded. Catania group 56 / NOAA AR region 2682
(McIntosh: Cso; Mag.Type: Beta) has been most active, producing one B3.5
flare peaking at 17:11 UT yesterday (30-Sep-2017). No Earth directed
Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in coronograph
observations. Integral proton flux for protons with energies above 10 MeV
remained at background level over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is
expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with some probability of
C-class flares.
Solar wind speed continues overall decline from about 540 km/s to 490 km/s,
reflecting declining influence from the high speed stream from the
positive polarity coronal hole. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude
returned to its nominal 4-5 nT range with the Bz component fluctuating
between -4.5 and 4.5 nT. The solar wind is expected to further recover
to
background conditions over the next days. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet
to active (local K Dourbes 1-4, NOAA Kp 2-4) and are expected to remain
quiet to unsettled over the next days. Isolated periods of active
conditions are possible.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 038, BASED ON 08 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 71001 1230/ 30///
1//// 20890 3018/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 71001 1230/ 29/07 01103
10055 2//// 3//// 472// 50060 60001 33812 00000
10056 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50210 60018 21609 02000
10057 2//// 3//// 474// 50320 60003 12914 01000
99999
USSPS 31405 29076 05242 55006 33812 2/901 56021 21609 21318 57032 12914
4/803
USSPS 21305 29186 05322 76008 34414 2/801 77018 21211 54317 78035 12414
5/805
USSPS 81202 30012 04232 72005 34714 3/801 73015 21012 31309 74030 12113
3/802
UMAGF 30503 71001 1004/ 30068 1/026 23234 33331
UMAGF 31523 71001 0000/ 30002 1/018 22232 34533
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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