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OK0NAG > SOLAR 12.10.17 13:38l 114 Lines 3889 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
Date: Thu, 12 Oct 2017 12:37:19 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU285
UGEOA 30512 71012 1237/ 9930/
10122 23122 30122
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 12 Oct 2017 until 14 Oct
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 034
PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 069 / AP: 030
PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 024
COMMENT: Solar activity was at very low levels. There is no sunspots on
the
visible side of solar disk. Narrow and slow coronal mass ejections (CMEs)
observed in coronagraphic imagery are not geoeffective. Integral proton
flux for protons with energies above 10 MeV decreased from around 0.8 pfu
till nominal 0.3 pfu over the past 24 hours. Quiet flaring conditions are
expected to continue.
The earth environment is currently under the influence of a positive polar
coronal hole. Solar wind speed increased from 430 to 580 km/s (DSCOVR)
over
the past 24 hours and is expected to grow more. Total interplanetary
magnetic filed is below 11 nT, while Bz component was varying between
-10
and 9 nT over the past 24 hours, being mainly negative. The geomagnetic
field is ranged from active to minor storm levels during the past 24 hours
(Planetary NOAA Kp: 4-5; local K index at Dourbes: 2-5). Active to moderate
geomagnetic conditions are expected to continue for next three days.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 24 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 71012 1237/ 11///
10000 20700 3031/ 4//// 80000 90000
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 71012 1237/ ///// /////
99999
USSPS 31405 12070 00042
UMAGF 30503 71012 1004/ 11069 1/048 24345 34443
UMAGF 31523 71012 0000/ 11004 1/031 24443 34554
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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