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OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.10.17 14:32l 116 Lines 3963 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
Date: Sun, 15 Oct 2017 12:30:18 GMT
Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2017 Oct 15 1230 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU288
UGEOA 30512 71015 1230/ 9930/
10152 22152 30152
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 15 Oct 2017 until 17 Oct
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 072 / AP: 031
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 073 / AP: 014
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Solar activity was at very low levels. There is no sunspots on
the
visible side of solar disk. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs)
were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. Integral proton flux
for
protons with energies above 10 MeV remained at background level. Quiet
flaring conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. From tomorrow solar
activity is expected to increase due to the active region rotating into
the
filed of view.
The earth environment is still under the influence of a positive polar
CH
that started its transit of the Central Meridian on 07 October. However,
the solar wind speed decreased from about 700 km/s till 590 km/s over
the
past 24 hours. Total interplanetary magnetic filed (IMF) amplitude also
decreased from 8 till 5 nT, while Bz was varying between 5 and -4 nT.
Geomagnetic conditions were from minor storm till unsettled levels on
planetary level and mainly on active levels locally in Dourbes. Mostly
active geomagnetic conditions are expected for the next 24 hours with
some
probability of minor storming.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 20 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 71015 1230/ 14///
1//// 20690 3029/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 71015 1230/ ///// /////
99999
UMAGF 30503 71015 1004/ 14066 1/038 23434 33344
UMAGF 31523 71015 0000/ 14001 1/029 25444 33543
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