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OK0NAG > SOLAR 16.10.17 14:30l 111 Lines 3795 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Mon, 16 Oct 2017 12:30:11 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2017 Oct 16 1230 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU289
UGEOA 30512 71016 1230/ 9930/
10162 21162 30162
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 16 Oct 2017 until 18 Oct
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 013
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 073 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 073 / AP: 007
COMMENT: The Sun did not produce any flares in the past 24 hours. The
chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 5%. No Earth-
directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available
coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal
levels.
Solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR decreased from about 575 to about 530
km/s in the past 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was
directed away from the Sun and its magnitude ranged between about 1 and
6
nT. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and 4;
NOAA
Kp between 1 and 5) were registered in the past 24 hours. Active levels
(K
Dourbes = 4) are possible on October 16, 17 and 18 due to continued
influence of the high speed stream associated with a positive coronal hole,
with a slight chance for minor storm conditions (K Dourbes = 5).
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 19 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 71016 1230/ 15///
1//// 20700 3022/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 71016 1230/ ///// /////
99999
USSPS 31405 16080 01132 59001 43712 0/101
UMAGF 30503 71016 1004/ 15065 1/024 22343 33123
UMAGF 31523 71016 0000/ 15009 1/022 24424 34441
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