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OK0NAG > SOLAR 17.10.17 14:49l 118 Lines 3970 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Tue, 17 Oct 2017 12:30:18 GMT
Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
To: solar@eu
:Issued: 2017 Oct 17 1230 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU290
UGEOA 30512 71017 1230/ 9930/
10172 21172 30172
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 17 Oct 2017 until 19 Oct
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 073 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 18 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 19 Oct 2017 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 018
COMMENT: The Sun did not produce any flares in the past 24 hours. The
chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 5%. No Earth-
directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available
coronagraphic imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal
levels.
Solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR decreased from about 530 to about 475
km/s in the past 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was
directed away from the Sun and its magnitude ranged between about 1 and
4
nT. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and
3;
NOAA Kp between 1 and 3) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to
unsettled geomagnetic levels are expected on October 17 and 18, with a
chance for active intervals (K Dourbes = 4). Active conditions are possible
on October 19, with a chance for minor storm intervals (K Dourbes = 5),
under the influence of another high speed stream associated with a negative
equatorial coronal hole.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 71017 1230/ 16///
10011 20710 3011/ 4//// 80101 90010
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 71017 1230/ ///// /////
99999
USSPS 31405 17070 00032
USSPS 32404 15140 01232 80000 42611 0/102
USSPS 21305 15145 01232 80002 42611 01202
UMAGF 30503 71017 1004/ 16068 1/014 22121 33311
UMAGF 31523 71017 0000/ 16001 1/011 23322 32233
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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