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CX2SA > SWPC 31.10.17 00:24l 59 Lines 2154 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 24821-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 171030/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:24821 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:24821-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Oct 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 303 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Oct 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29/2100Z to
30/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on day one (31 Oct) and
expected to be very low on days two and three (01 Nov, 02 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 328 km/s at 29/2105Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3668 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (31 Oct), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (01 Nov) and quiet to active levels on day three (02 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 31 Oct-02 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 Oct 076
Predicted 31 Oct-02 Nov 075/074/073
90 Day Mean 30 Oct 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Oct 003/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Oct 003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 31 Oct-02 Nov 006/005-006/006-010/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Oct-02 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/30
Minor Storm 05/05/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/20/20
Minor Storm 15/20/25
Major-severe storm 15/15/30
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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