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CX2SA > SWPC 01.11.17 00:24l 58 Lines 2062 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 24940-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 171031/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:24940 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:24940-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Oct 31 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 304 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Oct 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z to
31/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (01 Nov, 02 Nov, 03 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 297 km/s at 30/2124Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3054 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (01 Nov) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (02 Nov, 03 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 01 Nov-03 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 31 Oct 075
Predicted 01 Nov-03 Nov 075/074/073
90 Day Mean 31 Oct 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Oct 001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 31 Oct 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Nov-03 Nov 006/008-011/014-011/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Nov-03 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/30/30
Minor Storm 10/15/15
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 25/25/20
Major-severe storm 30/35/30
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
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