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CX2SA > SWPC 04.11.17 00:23l 59 Lines 2077 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 25394-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<IZ3LSV<I0OJJ<EA2RCF<ZL2BAU<CX2SA
Sent: 171103/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:25394 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:25394-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Nov 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 307 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Nov 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to
03/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (04 Nov, 05 Nov, 06 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 450 km/s at 03/0526Z. Total IMF reached 10
nT at 03/0240Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
02/2206Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (04 Nov, 06
Nov) and quiet levels on day two (05 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Nov 073
Predicted 04 Nov-06 Nov 073/073/073
90 Day Mean 03 Nov 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Nov 012/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Nov 009/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Nov-06 Nov 007/008-006/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/15
Minor Storm 05/01/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 20/20/25
Major-severe storm 20/15/20
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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