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CX2SA > SWPC 07.11.17 00:22l 59 Lines 2088 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 25751-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 171106/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:25751 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:25751-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Nov 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 310 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Nov 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05/2100Z to
06/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (07 Nov, 08 Nov, 09 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 360 km/s at 05/2347Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
06/2037Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -2 nT at
05/2201Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on days one and two (07 Nov, 08
Nov) and active to minor storm levels on day three (09 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 07 Nov-09 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 06 Nov 069
Predicted 07 Nov-09 Nov 069/069/069
90 Day Mean 06 Nov 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Nov 001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Nov 004/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov 020/028-021/030-026/036
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Nov-09 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 40/40/40
Minor Storm 35/30/30
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor Storm 25/30/30
Major-severe storm 60/55/55
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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