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OK0NAG > SOLAR 10.11.17 14:49l 119 Lines 4026 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
Date: Fri, 10 Nov 2017 12:30:12 GMT
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:Issued: 2017 Nov 10 1230 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU314
UGEOA 30512 71110 1230/ 9930/
10102 22102 30102
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 10 Nov 2017 until 12 Nov
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Nov 2017 10CM FLUX: 066 / AP: 017
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Nov 2017 10CM FLUX: 066 / AP: 021
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 Nov 2017 10CM FLUX: 069 / AP: 007
COMMENT: The solar activity is quiet as the solar disc remains spotless;
no
flares and no active regions have been recorded in past 24 h on the disc.
The X-ray flux is expected to remain below C level.
No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections have been observed and the solar
protons flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.
The Earth remained in the fast flow, the speed has decreased up to 550
km/s
on Nov 9 abound 17:00 UT before unexpectedly rising again up to a current
value of 700 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude remained
below 7 nT and the Bz component was fluctuating between -6 and 6 nT. The
solar wind speed is expected to remain fast as long as the Earth remains
in
the solar wind flow associated with the high speed stream coming from the
coronal hole (that has crossed the central meridian on Nov 4).
Unsettle to disturb geomagnetic conditions were observed (local K Dourbes
2-4, NOAA Kp 3-4). As long as the Earth remains in the fast solar wind
flow, further minor to moderate geomagnetic storms cannot be excluded,
especially if Bz component remains negative for long period of time.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 12 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 71110 1230/ 09///
10000 20660 3025/ 4//// 80000 90000
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 71110 1230/ ///// /////
99999
UMAGF 30503 71110 1004/ 09066 1/031 22334 33433
UMAGF 31523 71110 0000/ 09004 1/025 24323 33545
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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