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CX2SA > SWPC 19.11.17 00:24l 59 Lines 2071 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 26927-CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 171118/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:26927 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:26927-CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2017 Nov 18 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 322 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Nov 2017
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 17/2100Z to
18/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (19
Nov, 20 Nov, 21 Nov).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 470 km/s at 18/0506Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2355 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to active levels on days one, two, and three (19 Nov,
20 Nov, 21 Nov).
III. Event probabilities 19 Nov-21 Nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 18 Nov 076
Predicted 19 Nov-21 Nov 075/075/075
90 Day Mean 18 Nov 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 17 Nov 005/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Nov 007/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Nov-21 Nov 013/018-013/018-013/018
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Nov-21 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 40/40/40
Minor Storm 15/20/20
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/15/15
Minor Storm 30/30/30
Major-severe storm 35/40/40
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
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