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OK0NAG > SOLAR 22.11.17 14:33l 118 Lines 4077 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Wed, 22 Nov 2017 12:30:32 GMT
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Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
To: solar@eu
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:Issued: 2017 Nov 22 1230 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU326
UGEOA 30512 71122 1230/ 9930/
10222 20222 30222
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 22 Nov 2017 until 24 Nov
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Nov 2017 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Nov 2017 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Nov 2017 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 004
COMMENT: Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been quiet. No
significant flares have been recorded. All Active Regions (AR) have shown
low levels of activity. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs)
have been detected. A small back-sided CME was detected off of the West
solar limb, but is not expected to reach the Earth. The greater than 10MeV
proton flux remained at background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar
activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a low
probability of C-class flares.
The solar wind speed been decreasing from 650 to 500 km/s over the past
24
hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated around 5 nT. The
Bz
component has fluctuated between positive and negative, between -5 and
+5
nT. Geomagnetic conditions ranged between Kp index 2-5 (NOAA) and local
K
index 1-4 (Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. A positive polar coronal hole
was positioned in the Western hemisphere of the Sun and produced a high-
speed stream (HSS) that enhanced solar wind speeds and as a consequence
increased geo-activity levels. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to
return to quiet conditions throughout the day.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 19 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 71122 1230/ 21///
1//// 20730 3029/ 4//// 8//// 9////
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 71122 1230/ ///// /////
99999
USSPS 31405 22090 00042
UMAGF 30503 71122 1004/ 21061 1/035 24324 34423
UMAGF 31523 71122 0000/ 21001 1/029 24443 33554
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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