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OK0NAG > SOLAR    30.11.17 14:33l 129 Lines 4239 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
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Date: Thu, 30 Nov 2017 12:30:15 GMT
To: solar@eu
Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2017 Nov 30 1230 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://www.sidc.be/products/xut
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                       #

#--------------------------------------------------------------------#

GEOALERT BRU334
UGEOA 30512 71130 1230/ 9930/ 
10302 21302 30302 
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 30 Nov 2017 until 02 Dec 
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Nov 2017  10CM FLUX: 072 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Dec 2017  10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Dec 2017  10CM FLUX: 070 / AP: 005
COMMENT: Solar activity was at very low levels. Decaying sunspot region

NOAA 2689 was quiet and is approaching the NW limb. It has developed a

filament in its spotless trailing section. The 40 degrees long filament 
is
rounding the SW limb quietly. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections

(CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery. The greater than

10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.

Quiet flaring conditions are expected, with a slight chance on an isolated

C-class flare.

Solar wind speed values around 400 km/s were recorded until about 19UT,

when the wind stream associated with the southern polar coronal hole (CH)

extension arrived and gradually drove the speed to values near 510 km/s

around 09UT. Bz oscillated between +7 nT and -9 nT. The interplanetary

magnetic field was mostly directed towards the Sun. Solar wind parameters

did not show any obvious sign of the 25 November CME which has most likely

missed the Earth.

The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled throughout the period, with 
Kp
at active levels during the 03-06UT interval. Mostly quiet to unsettled

conditions are expected, with a possibility on another active episode.


TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN  : 011, BASED ON 09 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 71130 1230/ 29/// 
1//// 20730 3005/ 4//// 8//// 9//// 
99999

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES 

NONE
END

UGEOR 30512 71130 1230/ 28/08 30101 
10065 2//// 3//// 4321/ 50040 60006 43913 01000 
99999
USSPS 32404 28111 01432 84007 44113 31304
USSPS 21305 28160 01532 86004 44413 31305
USSPS 81202 29011 01232 81006 45111 3/802
UMAGF 30503 71130 1004/ 29069 1/015 21111 32224
UMAGF 31523 71130 0000/ 29005 1/005 21111 30123

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