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OK0NAG > SOLAR 15.12.17 13:50l 115 Lines 3996 Bytes #999 (0) @ EU
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Subj: GEOALERT SIDC
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Date: Fri, 15 Dec 2017 12:30:19 GMT
From: ok0nag <ok0nag>
To: solar@eu
X-clacks-overhead: GNU Terry Pratchett
Subject: GEOALERT SIDC
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:Issued: 2017 Dec 15 1230 UTC
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#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# GEOALERT message from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
GEOALERT BRU349
UGEOA 30512 71215 1230/ 9930/
10152 22152 30152
99999
PLAIN
NOTE: the above forecasts are valid from 1230UT, 15 Dec 2017 until 17 Dec
2017
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Dec 2017 10CM FLUX: 073 / AP: 011
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Dec 2017 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 029
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Dec 2017 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 019
COMMENT: The Sun produced no C flares in the past 24 hours. The chance
for
a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 5%. No Earth-directed
Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic
imagery. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels.
In the past 24 hours, solar wind speed measured by DSCOVR further decreased
from about 420 to about 350 km/s. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF)
was directed away from the Sun and its magnitude ranged between about 2
and
6 nT. Bz was never below -5 nT. A high speed stream from a recurrent
positive equatorial coronal hole is expected to arrive in the second half
of December 15 or early on December 16. Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K
Dourbes between 0 and 2; NOAA Kp between 0 and 1) were registered in the
past 24 hours. Active to minor storm conditions (K Dourbes 4 or 5) are
possible on December 15, 16 and 17, with a slight chance for moderate
geomagnetic storm intervals (K Dourbes = 6), due to the expected arrival
of
a high speed stream from a recurrent positive equatorial coronal hole.
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 14 STATIONS.
99999
UGEOI 30512 71215 1230/ 14///
10000 20720 3005/ 4//// 80000 90000
99999
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
UGEOR 30512 71215 1230/ ///// /////
99999
USSPS 31405 15080 00042
UMAGF 30503 71215 1004/ 14060 1/005 20110 32100
UMAGF 31523 71215 0000/ 14006 1/005 23211 30022
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
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