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CX2SA > SWPC 02.02.18 00:25l 59 Lines 2075 Bytes #999 (0) @ WW
BID : 34151_CX2SA
Read: GUEST
Subj: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
Path: IW8PGT<CX2SA
Sent: 180201/2219Z @:CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM #:34151 [Salto] FBB7.00e $:34151_CX2SA
From: CX2SA@CX2SA.SAL.URY.SOAM
To : SWPC@WW
:Product: Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity
:Issued: 2018 Feb 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
SDF Number 32 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Feb 2018
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31/2100Z to
01/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (02 Feb, 03 Feb, 04 Feb).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z: The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 462 km/s at 01/0500Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 01/0422Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
01/1937Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (02 Feb, 03 Feb) and quiet to
active levels on day three (04 Feb).
III. Event probabilities 02 Feb-04 Feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Feb 069
Predicted 02 Feb-04 Feb 070/071/071
90 Day Mean 01 Feb 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Jan 005/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Feb 004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Feb-04 Feb 005/005-006/005-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Feb-04 Feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/10/25
Minor Storm 01/01/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor Storm 15/15/30
Major-severe storm 15/15/35
___________________________________________________________
Automatic packet bulletin created with information received
by cx2sa.net from the SWPC Space Weather Prediction Center.
___________________________________________________________
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